Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.014277 0.016033 0.017809 0.019734 0.021755 0.023809 0.026050
2025-04-27 0.010581 0.013291 0.016170 0.019423 0.022966 0.026683 0.030853
2025-05-04 0.008127 0.011300 0.014816 0.018922 0.023518 0.028445 0.034076
2025-05-11 0.006721 0.010233 0.014270 0.019110 0.024637 0.030658 0.037626
2025-05-18 0.005439 0.009132 0.013538 0.018956 0.025260 0.032223 0.040371
2025-05-25 0.004237 0.007969 0.012611 0.018470 0.025415 0.033189 0.042380
2025-06-01 0.003333 0.007070 0.011915 0.018183 0.025735 0.034287 0.044486
2025-06-08 0.002546 0.006214 0.011193 0.017799 0.025889 0.035152 0.046289
2025-06-15 0.002031 0.005674 0.010829 0.017816 0.026485 0.036498 0.048614
2025-06-22 0.001472 0.004963 0.010174 0.017419 0.026547 0.037194 0.050167
2025-06-29 0.000936 0.004152 0.009306 0.016694 0.026167 0.037337 0.051053
2025-07-06 0.000500 0.003356 0.008375 0.015829 0.025568 0.037188 0.051570
2025-07-13 0.000343 0.003139 0.008352 0.016253 0.026686 0.039209 0.054776
2025-07-20 0.000132 0.002612 0.007805 0.015959 0.026913 0.040197 0.056820
2025-07-27 0.000015 0.002086 0.007178 0.015504 0.026901 0.040870 0.058472
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001844 0.007005 0.015674 0.027684 0.042500 0.061248
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001526 0.006639 0.015534 0.028040 0.043591 0.063370
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001160 0.006099 0.015094 0.027972 0.044140 0.064825
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000892 0.005698 0.014833 0.028124 0.044946 0.066577
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000644 0.005263 0.014487 0.028138 0.045563 0.068088
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000508 0.005064 0.014502 0.028636 0.046784 0.070325
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000329 0.004657 0.014143 0.028600 0.047315 0.071711
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000154 0.004103 0.013489 0.028122 0.047264 0.072370